PURPOSE

The S&P500 has formidable, widely known and well-understood investment benefits. But equally, it has formidable, widely verifiable and highly nuanced investor challenges, many of which are poorly understood. That’s why, on balance, investors are shown to underperform its potential.  

Force500 is designed to enhance investors’ experience with the S&P500. What can often feel undermining and accordingly lead to generally dismal outcomes can — and should be — a much more amenable experience, which should beget significantly more favourable investor outcomes. How so?

Force500 combines superior investment outcomes with an upgraded investor pathway designed to help investors weather the challenges of holding onto their stocks, increasing the likelihood of their holding and thereby the likelihood of yielding better results.

The importance of the investor pathway is not well covered in theory but is obvious in practice. Investments often fail their owners not because of any deficiency in the underlying holding, but because the pathway experience encumbers the investor from achieving success.

By redesigning the pathway — expanding on novel IP developed and successfully implemented over the last several years — Force500 effectively provides investors with costless risk reduction, i.e., reduces the likelihood of a disadvantageous exit or, alternatively, increases the likelihood of an enhanced return without any incremental risk.

The key ingredient is our unique Quantum of Solace system, defined as providing the minimum amount of wellbeing necessary for a relationship — any relationship — to survive. In this framework, the system provides the requisite wellbeing for an investor to successfully survive and maintain a relationship with the S&P500.

Empowering investors with an understandable and active engagement system, Force500 bolsters investor confidence and wellbeing, buoying and thus facilitating investors to achieve a return closer to that of the S&P500 than they otherwise would.

This opportunity presents a breakthrough advance in investor outcomes. After all, empirical evidence shows most investors actually underperform this benchmark annually by about 3 per cent. Their long-term performance is even worse; these percentages only become more dismal over time, with more than 90 per cent of professional investors underperforming over a 20-year horizon.

The S&P500 should provide investors with a compelling investment vehicle. It is the ubiquitous global standard, universally held, spoken and written about, and traded weekdays almost 24/7. Since 1923, the S&P500 (and its predecessors) has generated an annualised total return of approximately 10.5 per cent — which would have grown $1 into more than $13,000 notwithstanding the Great Depression, one World War, oil and inflation crises, and most recently, the global pandemic. One did not even need to hold it for quite so long. From 1960-2021, it grew $10,000 into $4,949,663, providing patient investors with ample returns.

Investment maestro Warren Buffett has repeatedly rhapsodised about the merits of the S&P500, should investors be patient — and resilient — enough to retain their holdings through market upswings, downturns and one (or several) annus horribilis. Buffett has encouraged investors who do not have the time, energy or inclination to study stocks full-time to apply the bulk of their investable dollars into the S&P500. The illustrious Yale University professor Burton Malkiel (renowned for his investment classic ‘A Random Walk Down Wall Street’) has issued the same directives. These have been echoed, too, by noted authority Howard Marks (of Oaktree fame), who has suggested that all equity investors should consider participating in this average as the “main event” — and that any active efforts to improve on it should be seen as “embroidery around the edges”.

So, it has pedigree, proven performance and a host of the world’s most successful investment authorities endorsing its merits.

The problem for investors — beginners or professionals — is that they do not benefit nearly as much as they could or should from the S&P500’s compelling rewards and compounding potential.

Why investors underperform the S&P500:

-      The feedback loop — a different number being quoted every second, five days a week, nearly 24/7 — is incessant, random and inexplicable. In other words, it does not conform to the human drive to seek patterns and derive meaning from everything we see, in order to feel control and balance. Instead, this nonstop, haphazard but high-stakes feedback loop is perpetually unsettling, upending any semblance of equilibrium. 

-      Even those who understand the clear and formidable merits of the S&P500 are forever tempted to optimise their results. Often, investors are driven by an internal belief that this can’t be too difficult to achieve or by external imperatives to look like one is adding value by better timing or selection.  

-      Achieving “just average” is looked down upon, however productive such a result would be.

-      The financial media and brokerage community constantly bombards investors with the idea that doing something different from what the investor is already doing is an option that is always available and better.

So, while the S&P500 presents significant opportunities, which should provide a comprehensive and effective investment solution for almost all investors, it currently fails in one critical dimension: it simply does not serve those same investors in its current format. Research demonstrates the actual average holding period for investors holding the S&P500 is about 6 months. The feedback loop — untenable with (almost all) investors’ internal wiring systems, which have remained unchanged since time immemorial — makes this unlikely to change. 

However, by drawing on behavioural insights established by luminaries including Nobel Prize-winning biologist Ivan Pavlov and Alfred Adler who (with Freud) essentially grandfathered the science of the modern mind, it is possible to modify certain behaviours previously considered innately ingrained and therefore permanently unchangeable.

By overlaying an investment system which resonates more closely with our internal wiring onto the S&P500, Force500 can change — and therefore optimise — the holding patterns and experiences of investors, increasing their likelihood of success and easing the path towards capturing the inherent benefits of the S&P500.

In essence, the Force500 system extracts and retains the S&P500’s formidable benefits while simultaneously overcoming its erstwhile insurmountable challenges.